Today/Scenario review

Add ARCd defensive sleeve

Inspect consequence, guardrails, and missing evidence before recording a browser-local decision.

Scenario checkpoint/browser-local review

Add ARCd defensive sleeve

A proposal is a reviewable decision, not an order. One risk gate is asking for a deliberate adjustment.

Review requiredExecution unavailable

18%

proposed

6% current

comfort 15%

Current exposure

before this scenario

Proposed exposure

18%

illustrative consequence

Workspace boundary

15%

review threshold

Decision consequence

What would the simulated allocation change?

Direction

Buy

Quantity

180 units

Allocation

≈ 18% of simulated capital (€9,000)

Workspace

Long-Term Growth Portfolio

Broker

Not connected

Capital

€50,000 simulated

Constraints

3 guardrails

Limit order at or below €51.20

Good-til-cancel, max 3 trading days

No more than 6% of daily simulated volume

Exposure change

Single-name exposure6%18%

Current 6%Comfort band 15%

Why this exists

Rationale from the research

The simulated defensive basket review found a materially smaller drawdown profile than the benchmark. This proposal would establish a starter position in the Arcadia Defensive ETF (ARCd) as a proxy sleeve while the full basket is staged. This is a simulated proposal for review only.

Open supporting research

Risk gates

Five checks surround the decision.

Single-name concentration
Would reach 18% — above your 15% comfort band. Requires explicit acknowledgement.
Review needed
Downside scenario
Simulated -20% shock implies ≈ €1,800 unrealised drawdown on this sleeve.
Info
Data freshness
Pricing and fundamentals inputs come from the dated frozen fixture shown above.
Confirmed
Missing information
No live borrow cost or real liquidity data — simulation only.
Review needed
Simulation-only
No order will be sent. Live broker execution is not enabled for this workspace.
Blocked